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Cody Williams and Isaiah Collier: Promising projects

You're probably not as tall as Cody Williams.

The new Utah Jazzman, the No. 10 pick in this year's draft, is 6'10″. If you, the person reading this column, happen to be as tall as Williams, I'd wager your wingspan can't compare to his 7'10″.

But according to the latest US statistics, it is relatively likely that she weighs more than Williams: the teenager weighs just 80 kilograms.

I'm not telling you this to make you evaluate your size, but because Williams is, period, one of the skinniest players we've ever seen in the NBA Draft. And Williams' weight is a microcosm of the Jazz's draft and even their overall position as a franchise. Right now, the Jazz are simply in development mode: They have some talent, but they definitely need to bulk up the rest of their roster to keep up with the rest of the NBA.

Let's examine what happened – and what didn't – on the first day of the NBA Draft.

Two promising projects

Certainly, both Williams and Isaiah Collier, who was selected No. 29, are players the Jazz have been eyeing for a very long time. Williams, who was ranked as the fifth-best player in the high school class of 2023, led his team to the Arizona 6A state title. Collier was even more highly regarded: He was the most promising player in his high school class and was voted MVP at countless major junior tournaments.

However, in their first years of college, both struggled to live up to expectations.

Colorado forward Cody Williams, left, is congratulated by guard KJ Simpson after committing a foul on a dunk during the first half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Milwaukee, Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

Williams simply didn't perform as well as expected in Colorado. His stats tell the story of a hesitant player. His poor rebounding rates, abysmal block and steal numbers, and declining shot count (was he saving his 3-point percentage for the draft?) frustrated Colorado fans who expected instant greatness. He was especially passive in the Pac-12 Conference Tournament.

Collier, on the other hand, seemed to be a mistake machine at USC. The turnovers were unforgivably high. The long-range shooting was exceptionally inconsistent. The defense was sloppy with and without the ball. The new college level seemed to be too much, not to mention the difficulties the NBA would bring.

What you think of Williams and Collier depends a lot on how much weight you put on those issues. Williams, a former point guard going through a growth spurt, may have simply let his more experienced teammates take the lead. He battled a wrist injury midway through the year, an ankle injury at the end, and even a facial injury that forced him to wear a mask for part of the season. Of course, he didn't play his best, his mobility and confidence were destroyed.

I'm leaning towards putting Williams on this side thanks to his skills that are so valuable at the NBA level: great touch inside, dribbling ability, passing inside and on the perimeter, and footwork and length on defense. That's why I hope the Jazz drafted him No. 10.

Likewise, Collier had two injuries last year that could have affected his performance: a knee injury early in the year and a broken hand in January. He could have quit and probably been drafted higher, but he came back and showed grit. USC was quite a circus last year, with Bronny James and Boogie Ellis also battling for time at the position and the team's big players not being particularly good.

Southern California guard Isaiah Collier moves the ball forward during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Cal State Bakersfield, Thursday, Nov. 9, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ryan Sun)

I'm less optimistic here, mainly because the opportunities are smaller for point guards and those who make big mistakes. A volatile 6'10 player who contributes little is easier to stay in the NBA rotation than a 6'4 point guard who misses shots, passes and defensive assignments. But if Collier's potential is right, he's more likely to be a high-scoring All-Star, and I think he's a reasonable bet in a bad draft late in the first round.

Regardless, I expect both players to spend a lot of time in the G League this season – given their college performances, I don't think either of them is really ready to play in the NBA on day one. Additionally, no NBA team has been more aggressive in placing first-round picks in the G League than Utah.

Uncompleted trades

There are usually a lot of trades that happen in the hours before the NBA Draft, but we've only seen two trades involving current NBA players. In the first, the New York Knicks acquired Mikal Bridges for five first-round picks (four of which were unprotected), a pick swap, and Bojan Bogdanovic. In the second, the Blazers acquired Deni Avdija from the Wizards for two first-round picks, two second-round picks, and Malcolm Brogdon.

Both Bridges and Avdija are players the Jazz were interested in before their recent performance upgrades, but ultimately, this is simply too high a price for both players — honestly, I think both acquiring teams overpaid by about two draft picks each.

(Bethany Baker | The Salt Lake Tribune) A sign announces a sale up to the 10th pick during the NBA Draft party at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City on Wednesday, June 26, 2024.

That the trades happened anyway reveals a truth about the NBA transfer market right now: It's a seller's market, not a buyer's market. That's especially true for players who contribute in both directions, like the kind of players Danny Ainge and later Brad Stevens built the Celtics' championship team around. As much fun as it would be for the Jazz to go “big game hunting,” even the mid-range game is currently being pelted with an unsustainable amount of shotgun shells.

Maybe that will change as the NBA calendar year continues and the Jazz can become a team that adds big contracts to their salary cap, like they did last year with the John Collins transaction. But it's at least as likely that buyers will continue to drive up the price of the young, promising talent in the league that would make sense for the Utah Jazz's future.

Largely unrelated, the Jazz also waived all deals on the first day of the draft this year. General manager Justin Zanik said that when the draft went the way it did — especially with some surprising picks at No. 5 and in the early 20s — the team knew there was no need to get players they liked.

Based on Zanik's post-draft press conference, it seemed like they gave more thought to the possibility of trading No. 29 to whatever “number of calls” they received once players started falling at the end of the first round. But the front office's modeling, Zanik said, suggested the team would likely get more value by simply taking the best remaining player on its roster at No. 29, which turned out to be Collier. The approach makes sense.

(Bethany Baker | The Salt Lake Tribune) Fans attend the NBA Draft party at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City on Wednesday, June 26, 2024.

Another snippet from Zanik's interview stood out – when he described his team as a “young, developing team” next year. There's no doubt they are that, as they are, but maintaining that status for 2024-25 wasn't necessarily a given, considering what Ainge said at the end of the season.

Currently, the Jazz plan to have a whopping seven players from their NBA roster play in the summer league. Center Walker Kessler, who has been playing for three years, will try out again, according to the Jazz – a move that could give him confidence and a chance to try new things in low-stakes games. All three of their second-year players (Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks and Brice Sensabaugh) are scheduled to play. And finally, the Jazz expect Williams, Collier and whoever they draft with the No. 32 pick to participate as well. Newly promoted assistant coach Sean Sheldon will coach the team.

All in all, I think Wednesday's first round of the 2024 NBA Draft was a very good night for the team's front office. It's also one that most likely won't change their outlook for the 2024-25 season, but maybe for the years afterward.

Anna Harden

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